Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26?
29°C 45%
30°C 31%
27°C 22%
32°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
45%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 31%
27°C 22%
32°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 26, 2026
26°C or below
$170 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
22%
28°C
$0 Wol.
21%
29°C
$71 Wol.
45%
30°C
$3 Wol.
31%
31°C
$5 Wol.
8%
32°C
$0 Wol.
22%
33°C
$0 Wol.
16%
34°C
$0 Wol.
4%
35°C
$0 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$110 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$359Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$359Data zakończenia
Sep 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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