Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on April 22, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from the Tokyo reference station, where hourly readings peaked at 22°C mid-afternoon under mild high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns precisely with JMA's April 20 forecast of around 21°C and seasonal normals of 21.2°C maximum, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric stability with minimal convective activity. Current evening temperatures are declining toward 15–18°C amid partial cloudiness, reducing upside risk. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst before sunset— improbable given cooling trends and model consensus—or a post hoc measurement revision by JMA, with final daily data expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 22?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$159,626 Wol.
$159,626 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$159,626 Wol.
$159,626 Wol.
Apr 22, 2026
14°C or below
$5,163 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,667 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,271 Wol.
No
17°C
$3,513 Wol.
No
18°C
$4,660 Wol.
No
19°C
$7,879 Wol.
No
20°C
$12,820 Wol.
No
21°C
$61,967 Wol.
No
22°C
$27,282 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$12,672 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$18,732 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on April 22, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from the Tokyo reference station, where hourly readings peaked at 22°C mid-afternoon under mild high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns precisely with JMA's April 20 forecast of around 21°C and seasonal normals of 21.2°C maximum, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric stability with minimal convective activity. Current evening temperatures are declining toward 15–18°C amid partial cloudiness, reducing upside risk. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst before sunset— improbable given cooling trends and model consensus—or a post hoc measurement revision by JMA, with final daily data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$159,626Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on April 22, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from the Tokyo reference station, where hourly readings peaked at 22°C mid-afternoon under mild high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns precisely with JMA's April 20 forecast of around 21°C and seasonal normals of 21.2°C maximum, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric stability with minimal convective activity. Current evening temperatures are declining toward 15–18°C amid partial cloudiness, reducing upside risk. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst before sunset— improbable given cooling trends and model consensus—or a post hoc measurement revision by JMA, with final daily data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$159,626Data zakończenia
Apr 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Tokyo on April 22, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data from the Tokyo reference station, where hourly readings peaked at 22°C mid-afternoon under mild high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns precisely with JMA's April 20 forecast of around 21°C and seasonal normals of 21.2°C maximum, reflecting typical late-spring atmospheric stability with minimal convective activity. Current evening temperatures are declining toward 15–18°C amid partial cloudiness, reducing upside risk. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-day heat burst before sunset— improbable given cooling trends and model consensus—or a post hoc measurement revision by JMA, with final daily data expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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