Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 10?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$167,495 Wol.
$167,495 Wol.
May 10, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$167,495 Wol.
$167,495 Wol.
May 10, 2026
15°C or below
$1,459 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,947 Wol.
No
17°C
$10,463 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,302 Wol.
No
19°C
$4,183 Wol.
No
20°C
$23,796 Wol.
No
21°C
$19,954 Wol.
No
22°C
$14,056 Wol.
No
23°C
$14,522 Wol.
No
24°C
$15,330 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$60,483 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$167,495Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$167,495Data zakończenia
May 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Tokyo's highest temperature market reflects 100% trader consensus on 25°C or higher at Haneda Airport Station, driven by official observations already surpassing this threshold amid stronger-than-forecast solar insolation and partial clearing after morning clouds. Japan Meteorological Agency models initially projected 23–25°C under light northerly winds and 20–30% precipitation odds, aligning with early May climatological normals of 23.1°C maximum, but actual readings peaked above 25°C during afternoon hours, boosted by high-pressure ridging and reduced humidity. With the daily peak window past and data stabilizing on Wunderground's historical records, revision risks are minimal barring rare post-finalization adjustments ignored by market rules; sustained cloudiness earlier would have been needed to cap below 25°C, now improbable. JMA evening updates may confirm the high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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