Iran's internal power struggles have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, with hardliners accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a "soft coup" by sidelining the absent Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and parliament in favor of the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks. A September 2026 New York Times report detailed how hardliner Hossein Taeb orchestrated July attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz without central approval, derailing a U.S. peace memorandum, sparking leadership confrontations, and strengthening escalation advocates. Recent U.S.-Iran exchanges, including strikes on naval vessels and oil tankers, along with Taeb's promotion and Mohsen Rezaei's mediation appointment, underscore factional divisions that could influence regime stability or leadership transitions. No major scheduled events immediately loom, though sustained military or diplomatic shifts may alter dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIran coup attempt by...?
Iran coup attempt by...?
$2,132,994 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$2,132,994 Wol.
December 31
$91,768 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's internal power struggles have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, with hardliners accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a "soft coup" by sidelining the absent Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and parliament in favor of the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks. A September 2026 New York Times report detailed how hardliner Hossein Taeb orchestrated July attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz without central approval, derailing a U.S. peace memorandum, sparking leadership confrontations, and strengthening escalation advocates. Recent U.S.-Iran exchanges, including strikes on naval vessels and oil tankers, along with Taeb's promotion and Mohsen Rezaei's mediation appointment, underscore factional divisions that could influence regime stability or leadership transitions. No major scheduled events immediately loom, though sustained military or diplomatic shifts may alter dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,132,994Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's internal power struggles have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, with hardliners accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a "soft coup" by sidelining the absent Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and parliament in favor of the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks. A September 2026 New York Times report detailed how hardliner Hossein Taeb orchestrated July attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz without central approval, derailing a U.S. peace memorandum, sparking leadership confrontations, and strengthening escalation advocates. Recent U.S.-Iran exchanges, including strikes on naval vessels and oil tankers, along with Taeb's promotion and Mohsen Rezaei's mediation appointment, underscore factional divisions that could influence regime stability or leadership transitions. No major scheduled events immediately loom, though sustained military or diplomatic shifts may alter dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$2,132,994Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Iran's internal power struggles have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, with hardliners accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and allies of a "soft coup" by sidelining the absent Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and parliament in favor of the Supreme National Security Council during truce talks. A September 2026 New York Times report detailed how hardliner Hossein Taeb orchestrated July attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz without central approval, derailing a U.S. peace memorandum, sparking leadership confrontations, and strengthening escalation advocates. Recent U.S.-Iran exchanges, including strikes on naval vessels and oil tankers, along with Taeb's promotion and Mohsen Rezaei's mediation appointment, underscore factional divisions that could influence regime stability or leadership transitions. No major scheduled events immediately loom, though sustained military or diplomatic shifts may alter dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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