Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
12°C or below 85%
22°C or higher 79%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
85%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
79%
12°C or below 85%
22°C or higher 79%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
85%
13°C
$0 Wol.
26%
14°C
$0 Wol.
24%
15°C
$0 Wol.
23%
16°C
$20 Wol.
39%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$0 Wol.
39%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C
$0 Wol.
39%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and global ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 15°C for Ankara on September 14, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, light to moderate westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling after a warmer weekend high near 32–33°C. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty in the exact low, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, which explains the balanced market-implied odds between the sub-13°C and 22°C+ tails. Historical September minima in Ankara average 13–16°C, providing context for why traders weigh both cooler anomalies and suppressed nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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