Recent forecast models for Beijing show considerable spread in expected overnight lows for September 25, with official guidance centering around 17–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover following earlier showers. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push minima toward or below 13 °C, while persistent cloudiness or a warmer southerly flow would limit cooling and support readings at or above 23 °C. These opposing regimes—driven by the position and strength of the next frontal system—explain the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme bins, with narrower outcomes around 17–22 °C reflecting the range of ensemble solutions. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against historical late-September variability will be key ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?
23°C or higher 97%
13°C or below 93%
16°C 40%
14°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
13°C or below
93%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
26%
18°C
23%
19°C
20%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
97%
23°C or higher 97%
13°C or below 93%
16°C 40%
14°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
93%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
26%
18°C
$0 Wol.
23%
19°C
$0 Wol.
20%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C
$0 Wol.
39%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Beijing show considerable spread in expected overnight lows for September 25, with official guidance centering around 17–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover following earlier showers. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push minima toward or below 13 °C, while persistent cloudiness or a warmer southerly flow would limit cooling and support readings at or above 23 °C. These opposing regimes—driven by the position and strength of the next frontal system—explain the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme bins, with narrower outcomes around 17–22 °C reflecting the range of ensemble solutions. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against historical late-September variability will be key ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Beijing show considerable spread in expected overnight lows for September 25, with official guidance centering around 17–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover following earlier showers. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push minima toward or below 13 °C, while persistent cloudiness or a warmer southerly flow would limit cooling and support readings at or above 23 °C. These opposing regimes—driven by the position and strength of the next frontal system—explain the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme bins, with narrower outcomes around 17–22 °C reflecting the range of ensemble solutions. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against historical late-September variability will be key ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Beijing show considerable spread in expected overnight lows for September 25, with official guidance centering around 17–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover following earlier showers. Clearer skies could enhance radiative cooling and push minima toward or below 13 °C, while persistent cloudiness or a warmer southerly flow would limit cooling and support readings at or above 23 °C. These opposing regimes—driven by the position and strength of the next frontal system—explain the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme bins, with narrower outcomes around 17–22 °C reflecting the range of ensemble solutions. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and verification against historical late-September variability will be key ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania