Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 indicate a minimum near 15–16°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with the recent warm spell where overnight lows have held above the 9–11°C September climatological average. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows minimal cooling overnight due to dry air and limited cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical norms. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, with closely matched probabilities across 15–16°C and the 21°C+ bin capturing uncertainty around exact overnight radiative cooling rates and any subtle maritime influence. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
21°C or higher 66%
13°C 48%
19°C 48%
17°C 28%
11°C or below
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
48%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
25%
19°C
48%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
66%
21°C or higher 66%
13°C 48%
19°C 48%
17°C 28%
11°C or below
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
48%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
25%
19°C
48%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 8 indicate a minimum near 15–16°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with the recent warm spell where overnight lows have held above the 9–11°C September climatological average. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows minimal cooling overnight due to dry air and limited cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated compared to historical norms. Trader sentiment reflects this outlook, with closely matched probabilities across 15–16°C and the 21°C+ bin capturing uncertainty around exact overnight radiative cooling rates and any subtle maritime influence. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise low before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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