With market-implied odds nearly even between a low of 18°C or below and 28°C or higher, traders are pricing in substantial forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 25. Short-range ensemble models show divergence in the strength and timing of a possible cold front interacting with lingering subtropical moisture, which can produce either radiational cooling under clear skies or warmer overnight conditions under cloud cover and southerly flow. September climatology for the city centers on lows near 22–24°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 25?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
21°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
18°C or below
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
21%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
21°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
19°C
$0 Wol.
39%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C
$0 Wol.
40%
22°C
$0 Wol.
21%
23°C
$0 Wol.
40%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
39%
26°C
$0 Wol.
39%
27°C
$0 Wol.
39%
28°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With market-implied odds nearly even between a low of 18°C or below and 28°C or higher, traders are pricing in substantial forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 25. Short-range ensemble models show divergence in the strength and timing of a possible cold front interacting with lingering subtropical moisture, which can produce either radiational cooling under clear skies or warmer overnight conditions under cloud cover and southerly flow. September climatology for the city centers on lows near 22–24°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With market-implied odds nearly even between a low of 18°C or below and 28°C or higher, traders are pricing in substantial forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 25. Short-range ensemble models show divergence in the strength and timing of a possible cold front interacting with lingering subtropical moisture, which can produce either radiational cooling under clear skies or warmer overnight conditions under cloud cover and southerly flow. September climatology for the city centers on lows near 22–24°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...With market-implied odds nearly even between a low of 18°C or below and 28°C or higher, traders are pricing in substantial forecast uncertainty for Chongqing’s minimum temperature on September 25. Short-range ensemble models show divergence in the strength and timing of a possible cold front interacting with lingering subtropical moisture, which can produce either radiational cooling under clear skies or warmer overnight conditions under cloud cover and southerly flow. September climatology for the city centers on lows near 22–24°C, yet recent model runs highlight sensitivity to small shifts in wind direction and boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as the event nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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