**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Meteoprog, Easeweather, and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 30–31°C for Jeddah on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 67% implied probability.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces persistently high humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures elevated even as daytime highs reach 36–37°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. Multiple short-range forecasts show overnight lows stabilizing around 30–31°C, consistent with historical early-September climatology where average minima hover near 30°C before seasonal cooling begins later in the month. No significant weather systems, stronger winds, or moisture intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours that would drive atypical cooling. This stability explains why probabilities cluster around 30–31°C while lower outcomes (24–28°C) carry single-digit to low-30s odds, reflecting the low likelihood of rare nocturnal drops in this humid subtropical desert environment. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the market’s emphasis on the upper-20s to low-30s range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 2?
30°C 100%
34°C or higher 100%
27°C 99%
33°C 92%
24°C or below
8%
25°C
88%
26°C
29%
27°C
99%
28°C
14%
29°C
65%
30°C
100%
31°C
62%
32°C
66%
33°C
92%
34°C or higher
100%
30°C 100%
34°C or higher 100%
27°C 99%
33°C 92%
24°C or below
8%
25°C
88%
26°C
29%
27°C
99%
28°C
14%
29°C
65%
30°C
100%
31°C
62%
32°C
66%
33°C
92%
34°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Meteoprog, Easeweather, and Yr.no indicate a nighttime low near 30–31°C for Jeddah on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 67% implied probability.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces persistently high humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures elevated even as daytime highs reach 36–37°C under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. Multiple short-range forecasts show overnight lows stabilizing around 30–31°C, consistent with historical early-September climatology where average minima hover near 30°C before seasonal cooling begins later in the month. No significant weather systems, stronger winds, or moisture intrusions are expected in the next 48 hours that would drive atypical cooling. This stability explains why probabilities cluster around 30–31°C while lower outcomes (24–28°C) carry single-digit to low-30s odds, reflecting the low likelihood of rare nocturnal drops in this humid subtropical desert environment. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact minimum, but current consensus supports the market’s emphasis on the upper-20s to low-30s range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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