**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on September 25, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light southerly to westerly winds that limit mixing but permit some radiative cooling under urban conditions.** This setup favors moderate overnight lows rather than extremes, with the daily minimum expected during pre-dawn hours before daytime heating pushes highs to 23–27°C. Recent September warmth has kept anomalies positive, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops, while model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions. Trader sentiment appears split between tail risks of stronger cooling under clearer rural-adjacent air or warmer advection, creating the near-even odds on sub-8°C versus 18°C+ outcomes despite central estimates clustering around 13–14°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 25?
Lowest temperature in London on September 25?
8°C or below 50%
18°C or higher 48%
15°C 40%
9°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
8°C or below
50%
9°C
35%
10°C
34%
11°C
15%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
35%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
48%
8°C or below 50%
18°C or higher 48%
15°C 40%
9°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
50%
9°C
$0 Wol.
35%
10°C
$0 Wol.
34%
11°C
$0 Wol.
15%
12°C
$0 Wol.
21%
13°C
$0 Wol.
25%
14°C
$0 Wol.
22%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
35%
17°C
$0 Wol.
5%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on September 25, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light southerly to westerly winds that limit mixing but permit some radiative cooling under urban conditions.**
This setup favors moderate overnight lows rather than extremes, with the daily minimum expected during pre-dawn hours before daytime heating pushes highs to 23–27°C. Recent September warmth has kept anomalies positive, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops, while model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions. Trader sentiment appears split between tail risks of stronger cooling under clearer rural-adjacent air or warmer advection, creating the near-even odds on sub-8°C versus 18°C+ outcomes despite central estimates clustering around 13–14°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on September 25, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light southerly to westerly winds that limit mixing but permit some radiative cooling under urban conditions.**
This setup favors moderate overnight lows rather than extremes, with the daily minimum expected during pre-dawn hours before daytime heating pushes highs to 23–27°C. Recent September warmth has kept anomalies positive, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops, while model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions. Trader sentiment appears split between tail risks of stronger cooling under clearer rural-adjacent air or warmer advection, creating the near-even odds on sub-8°C versus 18°C+ outcomes despite central estimates clustering around 13–14°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C for London on September 25, driven by high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and light southerly to westerly winds that limit mixing but permit some radiative cooling under urban conditions.** This setup favors moderate overnight lows rather than extremes, with the daily minimum expected during pre-dawn hours before daytime heating pushes highs to 23–27°C. Recent September warmth has kept anomalies positive, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops, while model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions. Trader sentiment appears split between tail risks of stronger cooling under clearer rural-adjacent air or warmer advection, creating the near-even odds on sub-8°C versus 18°C+ outcomes despite central estimates clustering around 13–14°C. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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