Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and associated cloud cover over Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting a daily minimum near 26–27 °C on September 2. High humidity (85–92 %), moderate-to-strong southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms—consistent with current PAGASA guidance and model consensus—further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological September lows of 25–26 °C. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 24–28 °C while making sub-23 °C readings unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky development. The closely matched probabilities for 27 °C, 24 °C, and warmer thresholds reflect model spread in nocturnal cloud thickness and exact wind speeds rather than any shift in the broader monsoon pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
31°C or higher 100%
24°C 95%
28°C 91%
30°C 90%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
15%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
95%
25°C
82%
26°C
84%
27°C
49%
28°C
91%
29°C
24%
30°C
90%
31°C or higher
100%
31°C or higher 100%
24°C 95%
28°C 91%
30°C 90%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
15%
22°C
$5 Wol.
13%
23°C
$21 Wol.
13%
24°C
$0 Wol.
95%
25°C
$0 Wol.
82%
26°C
$0 Wol.
84%
27°C
$0 Wol.
49%
28°C
$0 Wol.
91%
29°C
$1 Wol.
24%
30°C
$5 Wol.
90%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and associated cloud cover over Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting a daily minimum near 26–27 °C on September 2. High humidity (85–92 %), moderate-to-strong southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms—consistent with current PAGASA guidance and model consensus—further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological September lows of 25–26 °C. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 24–28 °C while making sub-23 °C readings unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky development. The closely matched probabilities for 27 °C, 24 °C, and warmer thresholds reflect model spread in nocturnal cloud thickness and exact wind speeds rather than any shift in the broader monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$42Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and associated cloud cover over Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting a daily minimum near 26–27 °C on September 2. High humidity (85–92 %), moderate-to-strong southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms—consistent with current PAGASA guidance and model consensus—further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological September lows of 25–26 °C. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 24–28 °C while making sub-23 °C readings unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky development. The closely matched probabilities for 27 °C, 24 °C, and warmer thresholds reflect model spread in nocturnal cloud thickness and exact wind speeds rather than any shift in the broader monsoon pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and associated cloud cover over Manila are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting a daily minimum near 26–27 °C on September 2. High humidity (85–92 %), moderate-to-strong southwest winds, and scattered thunderstorms—consistent with current PAGASA guidance and model consensus—further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological September lows of 25–26 °C. These conditions favor outcomes clustered around 24–28 °C while making sub-23 °C readings unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky development. The closely matched probabilities for 27 °C, 24 °C, and warmer thresholds reflect model spread in nocturnal cloud thickness and exact wind speeds rather than any shift in the broader monsoon pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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