Traders see closely matched odds across mid-range outcomes for Manila’s September 1 minimum because short-range model consensus from PAGASA and global ensembles points to a nocturnal low near 26–28 °C amid persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. An ongoing moderate El Niño episode has modestly raised baseline sea-surface temperatures and suppressed some rainfall, yet the immediate steering pattern favors continued humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky extremes that could push the reading above 30 °C or below 24 °C. Updated model runs and the next official PAGASA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
32°C or higher 55%
22°C or below 53%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
53%
23°C
15%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
55%
32°C or higher 55%
22°C or below 53%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
53%
23°C
$0 Wol.
15%
24°C
$0 Wol.
47%
25°C
$0 Wol.
49%
26°C
$0 Wol.
50%
27°C
$0 Wol.
26%
28°C
$0 Wol.
26%
29°C
$0 Wol.
49%
30°C
$0 Wol.
49%
31°C
$0 Wol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds across mid-range outcomes for Manila’s September 1 minimum because short-range model consensus from PAGASA and global ensembles points to a nocturnal low near 26–28 °C amid persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. An ongoing moderate El Niño episode has modestly raised baseline sea-surface temperatures and suppressed some rainfall, yet the immediate steering pattern favors continued humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky extremes that could push the reading above 30 °C or below 24 °C. Updated model runs and the next official PAGASA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched odds across mid-range outcomes for Manila’s September 1 minimum because short-range model consensus from PAGASA and global ensembles points to a nocturnal low near 26–28 °C amid persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. An ongoing moderate El Niño episode has modestly raised baseline sea-surface temperatures and suppressed some rainfall, yet the immediate steering pattern favors continued humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky extremes that could push the reading above 30 °C or below 24 °C. Updated model runs and the next official PAGASA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds across mid-range outcomes for Manila’s September 1 minimum because short-range model consensus from PAGASA and global ensembles points to a nocturnal low near 26–28 °C amid persistent southwest monsoon flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. An ongoing moderate El Niño episode has modestly raised baseline sea-surface temperatures and suppressed some rainfall, yet the immediate steering pattern favors continued humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky extremes that could push the reading above 30 °C or below 24 °C. Updated model runs and the next official PAGASA bulletin will likely narrow the distribution before the observation window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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