The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by a nearby low-pressure area, drives persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila through August 30, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate frequent showers and southwest winds that can produce slight variations in the overnight low depending on exact rainfall timing and local wind gusts. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds longer-term warmth but yields to the active habagat pattern in the short term. With leading market outcomes nearly tied, traders price the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise minimum under these dynamic monsoon conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
24°C 50%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
29°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
40%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
22°C 49%
30°C 49%
29°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$151 Wol.
2%
22°C
$16 Wol.
49%
23°C
$0 Wol.
25%
24°C
$6 Wol.
27%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
28%
27°C
$0 Wol.
27%
28°C
$0 Wol.
25%
29°C
$5 Wol.
40%
30°C
$135 Wol.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by a nearby low-pressure area, drives persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila through August 30, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate frequent showers and southwest winds that can produce slight variations in the overnight low depending on exact rainfall timing and local wind gusts. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds longer-term warmth but yields to the active habagat pattern in the short term. With leading market outcomes nearly tied, traders price the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise minimum under these dynamic monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$312Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by a nearby low-pressure area, drives persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila through August 30, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate frequent showers and southwest winds that can produce slight variations in the overnight low depending on exact rainfall timing and local wind gusts. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds longer-term warmth but yields to the active habagat pattern in the short term. With leading market outcomes nearly tied, traders price the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise minimum under these dynamic monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$312Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by a nearby low-pressure area, drives persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila through August 30, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate frequent showers and southwest winds that can produce slight variations in the overnight low depending on exact rainfall timing and local wind gusts. A moderate-to-strong El Niño background adds longer-term warmth but yields to the active habagat pattern in the short term. With leading market outcomes nearly tied, traders price the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the precise minimum under these dynamic monsoon conditions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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