The enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat), driven by a nearby low-pressure area, is forecast to deliver moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Metro Manila on August 29, moderating overnight temperatures through reduced daytime heating and evaporative effects. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 25–27°C range, consistent with late-August climatology of roughly 26°C lows, while several numerical models show potential for brief dips near 24–25°C amid widespread showers and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability as the modal expectation under these conditions, with lower tails (23°C or below) reflecting residual uncertainty in rainfall intensity and any localized cooling pockets. No major tropical cyclone development is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
23°C 14%
21°C or below 12%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
12%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
41%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 14%
21°C or below 12%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$155 Wol.
12%
22°C
$89 Wol.
1%
23°C
$89 Wol.
8%
24°C
$25 Wol.
41%
25°C
$584 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$480 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$107 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$68 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$208 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$78 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat), driven by a nearby low-pressure area, is forecast to deliver moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Metro Manila on August 29, moderating overnight temperatures through reduced daytime heating and evaporative effects. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 25–27°C range, consistent with late-August climatology of roughly 26°C lows, while several numerical models show potential for brief dips near 24–25°C amid widespread showers and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability as the modal expectation under these conditions, with lower tails (23°C or below) reflecting residual uncertainty in rainfall intensity and any localized cooling pockets. No major tropical cyclone development is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,959Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat), driven by a nearby low-pressure area, is forecast to deliver moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Metro Manila on August 29, moderating overnight temperatures through reduced daytime heating and evaporative effects. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 25–27°C range, consistent with late-August climatology of roughly 26°C lows, while several numerical models show potential for brief dips near 24–25°C amid widespread showers and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability as the modal expectation under these conditions, with lower tails (23°C or below) reflecting residual uncertainty in rainfall intensity and any localized cooling pockets. No major tropical cyclone development is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,959Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat), driven by a nearby low-pressure area, is forecast to deliver moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Metro Manila on August 29, moderating overnight temperatures through reduced daytime heating and evaporative effects. PAGASA's official outlook projects a 25–27°C range, consistent with late-August climatology of roughly 26°C lows, while several numerical models show potential for brief dips near 24–25°C amid widespread showers and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability as the modal expectation under these conditions, with lower tails (23°C or below) reflecting residual uncertainty in rainfall intensity and any localized cooling pockets. No major tropical cyclone development is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania