Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 23?
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
11°C or below
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
100%
11°C or below 100%
21°C or higher 100%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
12°C
$0 Wol.
39%
13°C
$0 Wol.
39%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
21%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$0 Wol.
39%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, project a minimum temperature in Milan on September 23 near 15–17°C under stable high pressure and light easterly flow, driving the closely matched 50% odds on extremes of 11°C or below versus 21°C or higher. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with modest advection and typical late-September seasonal decline from daytime highs around 23–25°C, anchors the central probabilities near 15–17°C at roughly 20% each. Ensemble spreads in forecast guidance introduce realistic uncertainty for outliers, while the short two-day horizon and consistent observational trends from regional stations limit sharper shifts until final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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