Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 15°C, driving the highest market-implied probability at 63.5% for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place average minimums around 12–14°C, but current high-pressure dominance and clear skies are limiting radiative cooling while suppressing warmer advection from the south. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor ensemble spread that still permits 12–14°C outcomes at 37–45% implied odds. Upcoming 00Z model updates tonight will refine boundary-layer temperatures ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
12°C 89%
14°C 79%
13°C 74%
17°C 74%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
11%
12°C
89%
13°C
74%
14°C
79%
15°C
64%
16°C
-
17°C
74%
18°C
74%
19°C
74%
20°C
-
21°C or higher
8%
12°C 89%
14°C 79%
13°C 74%
17°C 74%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
$68 Wol.
11%
12°C
$6 Wol.
89%
13°C
$0 Wol.
74%
14°C
$0 Wol.
79%
15°C
$0 Wol.
64%
16°C
$5 Wol.
-
17°C
$0 Wol.
74%
18°C
$0 Wol.
74%
19°C
$5 Wol.
74%
20°C
$5 Wol.
-
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 15°C, driving the highest market-implied probability at 63.5% for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place average minimums around 12–14°C, but current high-pressure dominance and clear skies are limiting radiative cooling while suppressing warmer advection from the south. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor ensemble spread that still permits 12–14°C outcomes at 37–45% implied odds. Upcoming 00Z model updates tonight will refine boundary-layer temperatures ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 15°C, driving the highest market-implied probability at 63.5% for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place average minimums around 12–14°C, but current high-pressure dominance and clear skies are limiting radiative cooling while suppressing warmer advection from the south. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor ensemble spread that still permits 12–14°C outcomes at 37–45% implied odds. Upcoming 00Z model updates tonight will refine boundary-layer temperatures ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 15°C, driving the highest market-implied probability at 63.5% for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place average minimums around 12–14°C, but current high-pressure dominance and clear skies are limiting radiative cooling while suppressing warmer advection from the south. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor ensemble spread that still permits 12–14°C outcomes at 37–45% implied odds. Upcoming 00Z model updates tonight will refine boundary-layer temperatures ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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