Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
5°C or below 92%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
6°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
92%
6°C
18%
7°C
90%
8°C
55%
9°C
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
5°C or below 92%
7°C 90%
8°C 55%
6°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
92%
6°C
$0 Wol.
18%
7°C
$15 Wol.
90%
8°C
$0 Wol.
55%
9°C
$3,712 Wol.
2%
10°C
$193 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$276 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,258Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,258Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS model runs indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely hold near 11–13°C under partly cloudy conditions with southwesterly flow at 6–11 m/s, limiting radiative cooling. Trader pricing around 8°C versus 5°C or below reflects model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can suppress or enhance surface lows by 2–4°C relative to rural stations. Historical mid-September minima average near 8–9°C, but current warm advection from the south keeps probabilities balanced until final station readings confirm the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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