Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 19?
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
3%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 44%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 24%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
61°F or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$10 Wol.
1%
64-65°F
$10 Wol.
4%
66-67°F
$18 Wol.
3%
68-69°F
$29 Wol.
14%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
24%
72-73°F
$6 Wol.
44%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
24%
76-77°F
$62 Wol.
11%
78-79°F
$5 Wol.
3%
80°F or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 19, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling due to high dew points and variable cloud cover. This pattern, typical for late August, aligns with seasonal baselines where average Central Park lows hover near 68–70°F but often run milder amid urban heat retention and southerly flow. Model consensus shows little change from recent nights in the 70–72°F range, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 70–73°F bins while leaving room for minor shifts if clearer skies or a brief frontal passage enhance cooling. Updated NWS forecasts and evening observations will refine probabilities ahead of the midnight-to-midnight resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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