Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models centers trader attention on an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on September 9, producing closely matched market-implied odds near 31% for 70-71°F and 30% for 68-69°F. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects mild, humid air from the Atlantic and mid-Atlantic region, limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and keeping dew points elevated in the mid-60s. Recent Central Park observations show similar patterns with minima in the mid-to-upper 60s amid weak pressure gradients, while model spreads arise mainly from timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud trends. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with final verification expected shortly after midnight on September 10.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 9?
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
61°F or below
8%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 9, 2026
61°F or below
$44 Wol.
8%
62-63°F
$30 Wol.
8%
64-65°F
$37 Wol.
4%
66-67°F
$332 Wol.
13%
68-69°F
$265 Wol.
30%
70-71°F
$652 Wol.
36%
72-73°F
$31 Wol.
12%
74-75°F
$67 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$30 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$27 Wol.
1%
80°F or higher
$27 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models centers trader attention on an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on September 9, producing closely matched market-implied odds near 31% for 70-71°F and 30% for 68-69°F. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects mild, humid air from the Atlantic and mid-Atlantic region, limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and keeping dew points elevated in the mid-60s. Recent Central Park observations show similar patterns with minima in the mid-to-upper 60s amid weak pressure gradients, while model spreads arise mainly from timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud trends. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with final verification expected shortly after midnight on September 10.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,542Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models centers trader attention on an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on September 9, producing closely matched market-implied odds near 31% for 70-71°F and 30% for 68-69°F. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects mild, humid air from the Atlantic and mid-Atlantic region, limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and keeping dew points elevated in the mid-60s. Recent Central Park observations show similar patterns with minima in the mid-to-upper 60s amid weak pressure gradients, while model spreads arise mainly from timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud trends. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with final verification expected shortly after midnight on September 10.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,542Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models centers trader attention on an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on September 9, producing closely matched market-implied odds near 31% for 70-71°F and 30% for 68-69°F. Southerly to southwesterly flow advects mild, humid air from the Atlantic and mid-Atlantic region, limiting radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and keeping dew points elevated in the mid-60s. Recent Central Park observations show similar patterns with minima in the mid-to-upper 60s amid weak pressure gradients, while model spreads arise mainly from timing of any weak frontal passage or cloud trends. Resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the Central Park station, with final verification expected shortly after midnight on September 10.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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