Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a 25°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 21 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-85%, and scattered afternoon showers that suppress overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical lows range 23-25°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability from light winds and frontal influences. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C over 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly clearer intervals, while sub-23°C outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected dry, calm nights. Updated KMA guidance and any revised model runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
25°C 37%
26°C 11%
23°C 10%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
10%
24°C
44%
25°C
37%
26°C
11%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 37%
26°C 11%
23°C 10%
22°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
$18 Wol.
1%
20°C
$0 Wol.
1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
3%
22°C
$0 Wol.
6%
23°C
$0 Wol.
10%
24°C
$23 Wol.
44%
25°C
$0 Wol.
37%
26°C
$0 Wol.
11%
27°C
$0 Wol.
5%
28°C
$5 Wol.
3%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a 25°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 21 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-85%, and scattered afternoon showers that suppress overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical lows range 23-25°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability from light winds and frontal influences. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C over 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly clearer intervals, while sub-23°C outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected dry, calm nights. Updated KMA guidance and any revised model runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$44Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a 25°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 21 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-85%, and scattered afternoon showers that suppress overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical lows range 23-25°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability from light winds and frontal influences. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C over 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly clearer intervals, while sub-23°C outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected dry, calm nights. Updated KMA guidance and any revised model runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$44Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a 25°C minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 21 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-85%, and scattered afternoon showers that suppress overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical lows range 23-25°C, and recent model consensus shows limited variability from light winds and frontal influences. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C over 25°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble spreads and potential for slightly clearer intervals, while sub-23°C outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected dry, calm nights. Updated KMA guidance and any revised model runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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