Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on June 25?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Wol.
$21,625 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Wol.
$21,625 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
$705 Wol.
No
16°C
$675 Wol.
No
17°C
$937 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,255 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,440 Wol.
No
20°C
$7,594 Wol.
Yes
21°C
$2,015 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,029 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,269 Wol.
No
24°C
$370 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$337 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,625Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,625Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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