Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Wol.
$21,155 Wol.
May 24, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Wol.
$21,155 Wol.
May 24, 2026
11°C or below
$952 Wol.
No
12°C
$716 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,299 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,388 Wol.
No
15°C
$4,961 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$1,776 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,166 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,101 Wol.
No
19°C
$890 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,613 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$1,293 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,155Data zakończenia
May 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$21,155Data zakończenia
May 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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