Forecast models from sources including PredictWind, WindBorne, and Yr.no indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies typical of the Mediterranean summer. This aligns closely with late-August climatological baselines near 24–26°C overnight, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (27.5%). Minor model spreads and local urban heat effects introduce limited uncertainty around exact hourly minima, while absent any incoming fronts or significant moisture, traders assign low odds to outliers below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs through the day could refine these ranges before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
26°C 51%
25°C 50%
27°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
49%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 50%
27°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
49%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
50%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including PredictWind, WindBorne, and Yr.no indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies typical of the Mediterranean summer. This aligns closely with late-August climatological baselines near 24–26°C overnight, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (27.5%). Minor model spreads and local urban heat effects introduce limited uncertainty around exact hourly minima, while absent any incoming fronts or significant moisture, traders assign low odds to outliers below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated model runs through the day could refine these ranges before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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