Current forecast guidance points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and promote vertical mixing of warmer air. Persistent marine influence and the city’s exposed coastal location further moderate extremes, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights are required for readings near 8°C or below. Trader positioning around 8°C versus warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in model timing of the wind shift from northwest to southeast and exact cloud thickness, while the low probability assigned to 15°C or higher aligns with the absence of strong warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
15°C or higher 70%
8°C 39%
10°C 30%
11°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
8%
7°C
27%
8°C
39%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
29%
12°C
6%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
70%
15°C or higher 70%
8°C 39%
10°C 30%
11°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
$157 Wol.
1%
6°C
$15 Wol.
8%
7°C
$0 Wol.
27%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$0 Wol.
30%
11°C
$0 Wol.
29%
12°C
$13 Wol.
6%
13°C
$18 Wol.
8%
14°C
$76 Wol.
2%
15°C or higher
$157 Wol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and promote vertical mixing of warmer air. Persistent marine influence and the city’s exposed coastal location further moderate extremes, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights are required for readings near 8°C or below. Trader positioning around 8°C versus warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in model timing of the wind shift from northwest to southeast and exact cloud thickness, while the low probability assigned to 15°C or higher aligns with the absence of strong warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$434Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and promote vertical mixing of warmer air. Persistent marine influence and the city’s exposed coastal location further moderate extremes, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights are required for readings near 8°C or below. Trader positioning around 8°C versus warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in model timing of the wind shift from northwest to southeast and exact cloud thickness, while the low probability assigned to 15°C or higher aligns with the absence of strong warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$434Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance points to a minimum temperature of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate winds that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling and promote vertical mixing of warmer air. Persistent marine influence and the city’s exposed coastal location further moderate extremes, consistent with late-winter climatology where clear, calm nights are required for readings near 8°C or below. Trader positioning around 8°C versus warmer bins reflects lingering uncertainty in model timing of the wind shift from northwest to southeast and exact cloud thickness, while the low probability assigned to 15°C or higher aligns with the absence of strong warm advection. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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