Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
12°C 48%
13°C 43%
11°C 33%
10°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
31%
10°C
32%
11°C
33%
12°C
48%
13°C
43%
14°C
29%
15°C
16%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
9%
12°C 48%
13°C 43%
11°C 33%
10°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$57 Wol.
1%
8°C
$43 Wol.
3%
9°C
$0 Wol.
31%
10°C
$0 Wol.
32%
11°C
$0 Wol.
33%
12°C
$0 Wol.
48%
13°C
$0 Wol.
43%
14°C
$81 Wol.
29%
15°C
$37 Wol.
16%
16°C
$37 Wol.
6%
17°C or higher
$37 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight lows in Wellington around 10–13°C on August 28, driven by a mild northerly airflow, high humidity near 90%, and extensive cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling. Wellington’s coastal exposure and typical wind patterns further moderate extremes compared with inland sites. Slight differences in forecast timing of showers or wind shifts could push the minimum between 11°C and 13°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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