**Latest short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 3 will likely fall between 11–13 °C, driven by strong northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling.** Wellington’s exposed coastal location and typical springtime wind patterns (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal moisture could push the low toward 11 °C or below. Historical September averages near 9–11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor milder readings. With 12 °C and 13 °C each at 44 % market-implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers; resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 3?
10°C 49%
8°C or below 48%
12°C 44%
13°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
48%
9°C
2%
10°C
49%
11°C
27%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
10°C 49%
8°C or below 48%
12°C 44%
13°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Wol.
48%
9°C
$5 Wol.
2%
10°C
$5 Wol.
49%
11°C
$0 Wol.
27%
12°C
$0 Wol.
44%
13°C
$0 Wol.
44%
14°C
$251 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$140 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 3 will likely fall between 11–13 °C, driven by strong northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling.**
Wellington’s exposed coastal location and typical springtime wind patterns (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal moisture could push the low toward 11 °C or below. Historical September averages near 9–11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor milder readings. With 12 °C and 13 °C each at 44 % market-implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers; resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$706Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 3 will likely fall between 11–13 °C, driven by strong northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling.**
Wellington’s exposed coastal location and typical springtime wind patterns (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal moisture could push the low toward 11 °C or below. Historical September averages near 9–11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor milder readings. With 12 °C and 13 °C each at 44 % market-implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers; resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$706Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by Met Office and WeatherBug indicate Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 3 will likely fall between 11–13 °C, driven by strong northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling.** Wellington’s exposed coastal location and typical springtime wind patterns (often 20–30 mph) promote mixing that prevents sharp temperature drops, while any increase in cloudiness or frontal moisture could push the low toward 11 °C or below. Historical September averages near 9–11 °C provide context, yet current synoptic conditions favor milder readings. With 12 °C and 13 °C each at 44 % market-implied probability, traders are pricing in genuine forecast spread from model differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers; resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum recorded at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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