Spain's fragmented Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes for any no-confidence motion to succeed, a threshold the opposition has not yet attempted to meet amid coalition dependencies on Catalan parties like Junts. A June 2026 non-binding resolution passed 177-171 urging Sánchez to resign over multiple corruption investigations involving his party and associates, yet opposition groups have refrained from tabling a formal motion due to insufficient support. Sánchez has publicly ruled out early elections or a confidence vote, committing to serve until the 2027 general election. Recent pressure from the Ceuta migration crisis has strained parliamentary arithmetic further, while PP polling leads and regional setbacks for PSOE reinforce trader views of low near-term odds for a successful vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$16,463 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
31%
$16,463 Wol.
December 31
$2,095 Wol.
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's fragmented Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes for any no-confidence motion to succeed, a threshold the opposition has not yet attempted to meet amid coalition dependencies on Catalan parties like Junts. A June 2026 non-binding resolution passed 177-171 urging Sánchez to resign over multiple corruption investigations involving his party and associates, yet opposition groups have refrained from tabling a formal motion due to insufficient support. Sánchez has publicly ruled out early elections or a confidence vote, committing to serve until the 2027 general election. Recent pressure from the Ceuta migration crisis has strained parliamentary arithmetic further, while PP polling leads and regional setbacks for PSOE reinforce trader views of low near-term odds for a successful vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,463Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's fragmented Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes for any no-confidence motion to succeed, a threshold the opposition has not yet attempted to meet amid coalition dependencies on Catalan parties like Junts. A June 2026 non-binding resolution passed 177-171 urging Sánchez to resign over multiple corruption investigations involving his party and associates, yet opposition groups have refrained from tabling a formal motion due to insufficient support. Sánchez has publicly ruled out early elections or a confidence vote, committing to serve until the 2027 general election. Recent pressure from the Ceuta migration crisis has strained parliamentary arithmetic further, while PP polling leads and regional setbacks for PSOE reinforce trader views of low near-term odds for a successful vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$16,463Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's fragmented Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes for any no-confidence motion to succeed, a threshold the opposition has not yet attempted to meet amid coalition dependencies on Catalan parties like Junts. A June 2026 non-binding resolution passed 177-171 urging Sánchez to resign over multiple corruption investigations involving his party and associates, yet opposition groups have refrained from tabling a formal motion due to insufficient support. Sánchez has publicly ruled out early elections or a confidence vote, committing to serve until the 2027 general election. Recent pressure from the Ceuta migration crisis has strained parliamentary arithmetic further, while PP polling leads and regional setbacks for PSOE reinforce trader views of low near-term odds for a successful vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania