OpenAI leadership has driven the 97% market-implied odds against a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 through repeated public statements prioritizing a 2027 timeline. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment work as making 2026 an “ill-advised moment,” while CFO Sarah Friar told staff the company expects to list next year unless the business inflects sharply. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and insistence on a $1 trillion valuation—above the $852 billion March private round—led advisers to recommend delaying rather than accepting a lower price amid tech-market volatility and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion. Realistic shifts could still arise from faster-than-expected revenue growth or regulatory changes easing safety burdens, though current signals point to sustained private-company focus through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano3% szansa
$312,464 Wol.
$312,464 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% szansa
$312,464 Wol.
$312,464 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI leadership has driven the 97% market-implied odds against a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 through repeated public statements prioritizing a 2027 timeline. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment work as making 2026 an “ill-advised moment,” while CFO Sarah Friar told staff the company expects to list next year unless the business inflects sharply. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and insistence on a $1 trillion valuation—above the $852 billion March private round—led advisers to recommend delaying rather than accepting a lower price amid tech-market volatility and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion. Realistic shifts could still arise from faster-than-expected revenue growth or regulatory changes easing safety burdens, though current signals point to sustained private-company focus through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$312,464Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI leadership has driven the 97% market-implied odds against a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 through repeated public statements prioritizing a 2027 timeline. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment work as making 2026 an “ill-advised moment,” while CFO Sarah Friar told staff the company expects to list next year unless the business inflects sharply. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and insistence on a $1 trillion valuation—above the $852 billion March private round—led advisers to recommend delaying rather than accepting a lower price amid tech-market volatility and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion. Realistic shifts could still arise from faster-than-expected revenue growth or regulatory changes easing safety burdens, though current signals point to sustained private-company focus through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Wolumen
$312,464Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...OpenAI leadership has driven the 97% market-implied odds against a $1 trillion-plus IPO before 2027 through repeated public statements prioritizing a 2027 timeline. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment work as making 2026 an “ill-advised moment,” while CFO Sarah Friar told staff the company expects to list next year unless the business inflects sharply. The June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and insistence on a $1 trillion valuation—above the $852 billion March private round—led advisers to recommend delaying rather than accepting a lower price amid tech-market volatility and projected 2026 losses near $14 billion. Realistic shifts could still arise from faster-than-expected revenue growth or regulatory changes easing safety burdens, though current signals point to sustained private-company focus through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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