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Wybory·Main Election

Republika Srpska Presidential Election

icon for Republika Srpska Presidential Election
Wybory·Main Election

Republika Srpska Presidential Election

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Jusuf Arifagić 4.7%

Marko Jorgić 4.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Jusuf Arifagić 4.7%

Marko Jorgić 4.0%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Wol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Wol.

37%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Wol.

5%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Wol.

4%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Wol.

4%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Wol.

3%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Wol.

1%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Wol.

7%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Wol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Wol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Wol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race in trader assessments at 60% implied probability ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) incumbency advantage and organizational strength following its narrow victory in the 2025–26 snap contest. The ruling party's candidate, currently serving as prime minister, benefits from institutional control and backing by influential SNSD figures, while main challenger Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) trails at 36% amid opposition fragmentation. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates, including several independents and smaller-party figures, align with limited polling visibility and historical patterns of SNSD dominance in entity-level votes. Recent developments center on candidate confirmations and coalition alignments in July 2026, with no major shifts reported since the February 2026 rerun that confirmed the prior SNSD win.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,954
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.izbori.ba/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić leads the Republika Srpska presidential race in trader assessments at 60% implied probability ahead of the October 4, 2026 general election, reflecting the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) incumbency advantage and organizational strength following its narrow victory in the 2025–26 snap contest. The ruling party's candidate, currently serving as prime minister, benefits from institutional control and backing by influential SNSD figures, while main challenger Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) trails at 36% amid opposition fragmentation. Lower probabilities for remaining candidates, including several independents and smaller-party figures, align with limited polling visibility and historical patterns of SNSD dominance in entity-level votes. Recent developments center on candidate confirmations and coalition alignments in July 2026, with no major shifts reported since the February 2026 rerun that confirmed the prior SNSD win.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,954
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.izbori.ba/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Republika Srpska Presidential Election" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Savo Minić" z 60%, za nim "Branko Blanuša" z 37%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 60¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 60% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Republika Srpska Presidential Election" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 24, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Republika Srpska Presidential Election", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" jest "Savo Minić" z 60%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 60% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Branko Blanuša" z 37%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.