Raymond McKay's 87.5% implied probability as the trader-favored Republican nominee for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate seat reflects his stronger party ties as a former Rhode Island Republican Assembly president and State Central Committee member, coupled with superior fundraising—$119,000 raised in the 2026 cycle versus Allen Waters' $0—positioning him to dominate the low-turnout September 8 primary. Waters, a perennial candidate with a history of primary wins but lopsided general election losses (e.g., 33% against Jack Reed in 2020), trails at 2.1% amid his fringe status and past GOP disavowals. No recent polling or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, with the field limited to these two amid Rhode Island's Democratic lean.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$13,064 Wol.
$13,064 Wol.
Raymond McKay
88%
Allen Waters
2%
$13,064 Wol.
$13,064 Wol.
Raymond McKay
88%
Allen Waters
2%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Raymond McKay's 87.5% implied probability as the trader-favored Republican nominee for Rhode Island's U.S. Senate seat reflects his stronger party ties as a former Rhode Island Republican Assembly president and State Central Committee member, coupled with superior fundraising—$119,000 raised in the 2026 cycle versus Allen Waters' $0—positioning him to dominate the low-turnout September 8 primary. Waters, a perennial candidate with a history of primary wins but lopsided general election losses (e.g., 33% against Jack Reed in 2020), trails at 2.1% amid his fringe status and past GOP disavowals. No recent polling or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to shift this consensus, with the field limited to these two amid Rhode Island's Democratic lean.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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