Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Lunelli 17%
Carol de Toni 16%
Marlene Soccas 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Jeferson da Rocha
22%
Lunelli
17%
Carol de Toni
25%
Marlene Soccas
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
11%
Marcos Dorval
10%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
10%
Afrânio Boppré
9%
Décio Lima
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
14%
Carol
8%
Esperidião Amin
8%
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Lunelli 17%
Carol de Toni 16%
Marlene Soccas 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Jeferson da Rocha
$56 Wol.
22%
Lunelli
$96 Wol.
17%
Carol de Toni
$96 Wol.
25%
Marlene Soccas
$56 Wol.
13%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$95 Wol.
12%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$56 Wol.
11%
Marcos Dorval
$56 Wol.
10%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$56 Wol.
10%
Afrânio Boppré
$72 Wol.
9%
Décio Lima
$72 Wol.
9%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$102 Wol.
14%
Carol
$56 Wol.
8%
Esperidião Amin
$56 Wol.
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$925Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$925Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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