H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished without Senate action since its receipt that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers—53-47 in the Senate—no committee referral, cloture vote, or floor consideration has occurred in the past year, amid competing legislative priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling talks. House Republicans urged Senate Rules Committee markup in February 2026 ahead of midterms, yet no progress followed. With eight months remaining, post-election lame-duck dynamics offer a slim path, but historical base rates for similarly stalled bills suggest significant barriers to passage and presidential signature by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$151,738 Wol.
$151,738 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$151,738 Wol.
$151,738 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished without Senate action since its receipt that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers—53-47 in the Senate—no committee referral, cloture vote, or floor consideration has occurred in the past year, amid competing legislative priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling talks. House Republicans urged Senate Rules Committee markup in February 2026 ahead of midterms, yet no progress followed. With eight months remaining, post-election lame-duck dynamics offer a slim path, but historical base rates for similarly stalled bills suggest significant barriers to passage and presidential signature by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$151,738Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished without Senate action since its receipt that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers—53-47 in the Senate—no committee referral, cloture vote, or floor consideration has occurred in the past year, amid competing legislative priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling talks. House Republicans urged Senate Rules Committee markup in February 2026 ahead of midterms, yet no progress followed. With eight months remaining, post-election lame-duck dynamics offer a slim path, but historical base rates for similarly stalled bills suggest significant barriers to passage and presidential signature by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$151,930Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished without Senate action since its receipt that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability of no enactment in 2026. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers—53-47 in the Senate—no committee referral, cloture vote, or floor consideration has occurred in the past year, amid competing legislative priorities like appropriations and debt ceiling talks. House Republicans urged Senate Rules Committee markup in February 2026 ahead of midterms, yet no progress followed. With eight months remaining, post-election lame-duck dynamics offer a slim path, but historical base rates for similarly stalled bills suggest significant barriers to passage and presidential signature by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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