**The high probability assigned to “No” for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from its repeated failure to clear the Senate.** Versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet stalled in the upper chamber. Senate rules require 60 votes to overcome a filibuster; with Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill has lacked sufficient bipartisan support, as evidenced by recent defeats including its rejection as an amendment to a DHS funding bill in June 2026. While supporters continue exploring alternative legislative vehicles or executive avenues, the narrow window remaining in the 119th Congress and entrenched partisan divisions make enactment before year-end improbable according to current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$168,367 Wol.
$168,367 Wol.
$168,367 Wol.
$168,367 Wol.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The high probability assigned to “No” for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 stems primarily from its repeated failure to clear the Senate.** Versions of the measure requiring documentary proof of citizenship for voter registration passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet stalled in the upper chamber. Senate rules require 60 votes to overcome a filibuster; with Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill has lacked sufficient bipartisan support, as evidenced by recent defeats including its rejection as an amendment to a DHS funding bill in June 2026. While supporters continue exploring alternative legislative vehicles or executive avenues, the narrow window remaining in the 119th Congress and entrenched partisan divisions make enactment before year-end improbable according to current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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