Traders view Google as the leading contender for second-best AI lab by end of November at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of Meta at 25% and Anthropic at 17%, amid a fragmented field of lower-odds options. This positioning stems from Google's continued scaling of large language models like Gemini, strong benchmark results, and deep integration with search and cloud platforms that drive developer adoption. Meta's open-weight releases and Anthropic's emphasis on constitutional AI and safety features create distinct competitive edges, yet recent model updates and enterprise partnerships keep the race fluid. Key catalysts ahead include earnings reports, potential new releases, and third-party evaluations that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best AI Lab end of November?
Second-best AI Lab end of November?
Google 43%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 17%
Alibaba 15.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
43%
Meta
25%
Anthropic
17%
Alibaba
9%
Moonshot
10%
OpenAI
8%
SpaceXAI
5%
Baidu
3%
Z.ai
3%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Tencent
1%
Google 43%
Meta 25%
Anthropic 17%
Alibaba 15.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
$2,283 Wol.
43%
Meta
$916 Wol.
25%
Anthropic
$636 Wol.
17%
Alibaba
$200 Wol.
9%
Moonshot
$286 Wol.
10%
OpenAI
$192 Wol.
8%
SpaceXAI
$187 Wol.
5%
Baidu
$187 Wol.
3%
Z.ai
$187 Wol.
3%
Xiaomi
$187 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$176 Wol.
1%
Amazon
$186 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$197 Wol.
1%
Thinky
$187 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$187 Wol.
1%
StepFun
$176 Wol.
1%
Nvidia
$187 Wol.
1%
MiniMax
$187 Wol.
1%
Mistral
$176 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$176 Wol.
1%
Tencent
$196 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view Google as the leading contender for second-best AI lab by end of November at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of Meta at 25% and Anthropic at 17%, amid a fragmented field of lower-odds options. This positioning stems from Google's continued scaling of large language models like Gemini, strong benchmark results, and deep integration with search and cloud platforms that drive developer adoption. Meta's open-weight releases and Anthropic's emphasis on constitutional AI and safety features create distinct competitive edges, yet recent model updates and enterprise partnerships keep the race fluid. Key catalysts ahead include earnings reports, potential new releases, and third-party evaluations that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,295Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view Google as the leading contender for second-best AI lab by end of November at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of Meta at 25% and Anthropic at 17%, amid a fragmented field of lower-odds options. This positioning stems from Google's continued scaling of large language models like Gemini, strong benchmark results, and deep integration with search and cloud platforms that drive developer adoption. Meta's open-weight releases and Anthropic's emphasis on constitutional AI and safety features create distinct competitive edges, yet recent model updates and enterprise partnerships keep the race fluid. Key catalysts ahead include earnings reports, potential new releases, and third-party evaluations that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$7,295Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders view Google as the leading contender for second-best AI lab by end of November at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of Meta at 25% and Anthropic at 17%, amid a fragmented field of lower-odds options. This positioning stems from Google's continued scaling of large language models like Gemini, strong benchmark results, and deep integration with search and cloud platforms that drive developer adoption. Meta's open-weight releases and Anthropic's emphasis on constitutional AI and safety features create distinct competitive edges, yet recent model updates and enterprise partnerships keep the race fluid. Key catalysts ahead include earnings reports, potential new releases, and third-party evaluations that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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