The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
SpaceXAI 31%
Z.ai 26%
MiniMax 26%
Meituan 26%

SpaceXAI
31%

Z.ai
26%

MiniMax
26%

Meituan
26%

ByteDance
26%

Mistral
26%

Thinky
26%

Baidu
25%

Xiaomi
25%

Nvidia
25%

StepFun
25%

Alibaba
25%

Meta
25%

OpenAI
24%

22%

Anthropic
19%

Moonshot
11%

Microsoft
13%

DeepSeek
10%

Tencent
8%

Amazon
8%
SpaceXAI 31%
Z.ai 26%
MiniMax 26%
Meituan 26%

SpaceXAI
31%

Z.ai
26%

MiniMax
26%

Meituan
26%

ByteDance
26%

Mistral
26%

Thinky
26%

Baidu
25%

Xiaomi
25%

Nvidia
25%

StepFun
25%

Alibaba
25%

Meta
25%

OpenAI
24%

22%

Anthropic
19%

Moonshot
11%

Microsoft
13%

DeepSeek
10%

Tencent
8%

Amazon
8%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market prices reflect intense competition for second place on Text Arena’s math leaderboard, where Anthropic models currently dominate top scores through superior multi-step reasoning and agentic capabilities. Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi variants), Alibaba (Qwen), ByteDance, and MiniMax have posted strong recent benchmark results on AIME, FrontierMath, and related evals, narrowing gaps with open-weight releases and targeted optimizations. Google’s Gemini updates and OpenAI’s GPT-5.x iterations provide additional swing factors, while lower odds for Western labs like Meta, Mistral, and Microsoft highlight slower recent math-specific gains. With November resolution weeks away, fresh model drops or leaderboard shifts from ongoing benchmark refreshes could quickly reorder the field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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