Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Moonshot 38%
OpenAI 18%
SpaceXAI 13%
Z.ai 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
38%
OpenAI
18%
SpaceXAI
13%
Z.ai
11%
Meta
10%
7%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
4%
ByteDance
4%
MiniMax
4%
Nvidia
4%
Baidu
4%
Amazon
4%
Mistral
4%
Meituan
4%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft
1%
Moonshot 38%
OpenAI 18%
SpaceXAI 13%
Z.ai 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
$426 Wol.
38%
OpenAI
$265 Wol.
18%
SpaceXAI
$187 Wol.
13%
Z.ai
$87 Wol.
11%
Meta
$87 Wol.
10%
$87 Wol.
7%
Alibaba
$87 Wol.
4%
Xiaomi
$104 Wol.
4%
ByteDance
$69 Wol.
4%
MiniMax
$89 Wol.
4%
Nvidia
$87 Wol.
4%
Baidu
$87 Wol.
4%
Amazon
$87 Wol.
4%
Mistral
$129 Wol.
4%
Meituan
$69 Wol.
4%
Anthropic
$452 Wol.
3%
DeepSeek
$93 Wol.
1%
Tencent
$107 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$178 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,773Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$2,773Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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