Incumbent Republican Gov. Bill Lee's term limit opens the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race in a deep-red state where no Democrat has won since 2006, driving trader consensus to 90.8% for a Republican victory. Recent March polls, including Cygnal (58%) and VictoryPhones (56-61%), show Sen. Marsha Blackburn commanding the GOP primary with 40+ point leads over Rep. John Rose ahead of the August 6 primaries, solidifying the party's path to nomination amid a crowded but uncompetitive Democratic field led by figures like Carnita Atwater. General election hypotheticals reflect similar Republican dominance. Scenarios like a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, health issues, or a massive Democratic turnout surge in this GOP trifecta state could challenge the odds, though historical precedents favor Republicans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner

Republican
90%

Democrat
7%

Republican
90%

Democrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Bill Lee's term limit opens the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial race in a deep-red state where no Democrat has won since 2006, driving trader consensus to 90.8% for a Republican victory. Recent March polls, including Cygnal (58%) and VictoryPhones (56-61%), show Sen. Marsha Blackburn commanding the GOP primary with 40+ point leads over Rep. John Rose ahead of the August 6 primaries, solidifying the party's path to nomination amid a crowded but uncompetitive Democratic field led by figures like Carnita Atwater. General election hypotheticals reflect similar Republican dominance. Scenarios like a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, health issues, or a massive Democratic turnout surge in this GOP trifecta state could challenge the odds, though historical precedents favor Republicans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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