**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a months-long absence for depression treatment, and has since resumed active legislative work.** In late July he announced nearly $18 million in community project funding secured for his district and participated in local events highlighting federal grants for an emergency operations center. No public statements, ethics filings, or credible reporting indicate plans to resign, retire, or otherwise depart before the current term concludes in January 2027. The seat remains competitive heading into the November 2026 midterm, with Kean positioned as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection against a Democratic challenger. This ongoing campaign activity and lack of any departure signals align with the 64.5% trader-implied probability that he will serve out the remainder of his term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
NOWE
Jan 3, 2027
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a months-long absence for depression treatment, and has since resumed active legislative work.** In late July he announced nearly $18 million in community project funding secured for his district and participated in local events highlighting federal grants for an emergency operations center. No public statements, ethics filings, or credible reporting indicate plans to resign, retire, or otherwise depart before the current term concludes in January 2027.
The seat remains competitive heading into the November 2026 midterm, with Kean positioned as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection against a Democratic challenger. This ongoing campaign activity and lack of any departure signals align with the 64.5% trader-implied probability that he will serve out the remainder of his term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Jan 3, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a months-long absence for depression treatment, and has since resumed active legislative work.** In late July he announced nearly $18 million in community project funding secured for his district and participated in local events highlighting federal grants for an emergency operations center. No public statements, ethics filings, or credible reporting indicate plans to resign, retire, or otherwise depart before the current term concludes in January 2027.
The seat remains competitive heading into the November 2026 midterm, with Kean positioned as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection against a Democratic challenger. This ongoing campaign activity and lack of any departure signals align with the 64.5% trader-implied probability that he will serve out the remainder of his term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$34Data zakończenia
Jan 3, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a months-long absence for depression treatment, and has since resumed active legislative work.** In late July he announced nearly $18 million in community project funding secured for his district and participated in local events highlighting federal grants for an emergency operations center. No public statements, ethics filings, or credible reporting indicate plans to resign, retire, or otherwise depart before the current term concludes in January 2027. The seat remains competitive heading into the November 2026 midterm, with Kean positioned as the incumbent Republican seeking reelection against a Democratic challenger. This ongoing campaign activity and lack of any departure signals align with the 64.5% trader-implied probability that he will serve out the remainder of his term.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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