Recent polling aggregates, including Nate Silver's Bulletin showing net approval steady at -16.6 as of April 17 amid a two-week Iran ceasefire announced April 7, and Rasmussen daily tracking holding at 43-44% approve, have fueled trader consensus for an "Up" resolution on this week's job approval change. After dipping to second-term lows earlier in April amid high gas prices and Iran war tensions, the lack of fresh negatives and incorporation of polls like RMG Research (45% approve, April 8-15) signal a modest rebound versus last week's average. With the market tied to Silver Bulletin's green-line trend—comparing weekly endpoints—late surveys or methodology tweaks remain slim risks to alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUp
$7,445 Wol.
$7,445 Wol.
Up
$7,445 Wol.
$7,445 Wol.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling aggregates, including Nate Silver's Bulletin showing net approval steady at -16.6 as of April 17 amid a two-week Iran ceasefire announced April 7, and Rasmussen daily tracking holding at 43-44% approve, have fueled trader consensus for an "Up" resolution on this week's job approval change. After dipping to second-term lows earlier in April amid high gas prices and Iran war tensions, the lack of fresh negatives and incorporation of polls like RMG Research (45% approve, April 8-15) signal a modest rebound versus last week's average. With the market tied to Silver Bulletin's green-line trend—comparing weekly endpoints—late surveys or methodology tweaks remain slim risks to alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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