US military forces executed a targeted special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing. Trader consensus on renewed ground entry reflects the shift to lower-intensity follow-on actions, including coordinated airstrikes against Tren de Aragua leaders inside Venezuela as recently as mid-June 2026 and continued maritime interdiction. With an interim Venezuelan government in place and no announced large-scale deployment or occupation plans, probabilities remain low for additional US personnel on Venezuelan territory before near-term resolution dates. Key variables include any escalation tied to gang enforcement, oil-sector enforcement measures, or regional security cooperation that could require renewed boots-on-the-ground presence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$1,327,035 Wol.
Jan 31, 2026
30 czerwca
18%
$1,327,035 Wol.
30 czerwca
$242,272 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces executed a targeted special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing. Trader consensus on renewed ground entry reflects the shift to lower-intensity follow-on actions, including coordinated airstrikes against Tren de Aragua leaders inside Venezuela as recently as mid-June 2026 and continued maritime interdiction. With an interim Venezuelan government in place and no announced large-scale deployment or occupation plans, probabilities remain low for additional US personnel on Venezuelan territory before near-term resolution dates. Key variables include any escalation tied to gang enforcement, oil-sector enforcement measures, or regional security cooperation that could require renewed boots-on-the-ground presence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,327,035Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces executed a targeted special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing. Trader consensus on renewed ground entry reflects the shift to lower-intensity follow-on actions, including coordinated airstrikes against Tren de Aragua leaders inside Venezuela as recently as mid-June 2026 and continued maritime interdiction. With an interim Venezuelan government in place and no announced large-scale deployment or occupation plans, probabilities remain low for additional US personnel on Venezuelan territory before near-term resolution dates. Key variables include any escalation tied to gang enforcement, oil-sector enforcement measures, or regional security cooperation that could require renewed boots-on-the-ground presence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,327,035Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces executed a targeted special operations raid in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife under Operation Absolute Resolve before withdrawing. Trader consensus on renewed ground entry reflects the shift to lower-intensity follow-on actions, including coordinated airstrikes against Tren de Aragua leaders inside Venezuela as recently as mid-June 2026 and continued maritime interdiction. With an interim Venezuelan government in place and no announced large-scale deployment or occupation plans, probabilities remain low for additional US personnel on Venezuelan territory before near-term resolution dates. Key variables include any escalation tied to gang enforcement, oil-sector enforcement measures, or regional security cooperation that could require renewed boots-on-the-ground presence.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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