Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2,344,394 Wol.
$2,344,394 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$2,344,394 Wol.
$2,344,394 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,344,394Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$2,344,394Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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