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Geopolityka·Izrael

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

icon for Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Geopolityka·Izrael

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$437,297 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$437,297 Wol.

Polymarket
icon for North Korea

North Korea

$37,479 Wol.

<1%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$51,033 Wol.

1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$49,061 Wol.

1%

icon for Lebanon

Lebanon

$71,282 Wol.

2%

icon for Afghanistan

Afghanistan

$18,677 Wol.

1%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$35,226 Wol.

1%

icon for Pakistan

Pakistan

$8,802 Wol.

1%

icon for Syria

Syria

$14,168 Wol.

2%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$87,983 Wol.

1%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$2,679 Wol.

2%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$2,021 Wol.

1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$7,278 Wol.

<1%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$19,603 Wol.

1%

icon for Malaysia

Malaysia

$26,493 Wol.

<1%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$5,513 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No major new recognitions of Israel appear imminent ahead of the June 30, 2026 deadline.** As of early 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 non-recognizers, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, Algeria, and Indonesia. Recent diplomatic activity centers on U.S. President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging additional Abraham Accords signings, yet Saudi officials reiterated that normalization requires an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood. Broader regional tensions, including continued West Bank settlement activity and international sanctions on settler networks by countries like Britain, Canada, and France, have reinforced conditioning factors for potential recognizers. With only two weeks remaining, any resolution would require rapid official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in bilateral talks.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$437,297
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No major new recognitions of Israel appear imminent ahead of the June 30, 2026 deadline.** As of early 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 non-recognizers, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, Algeria, and Indonesia. Recent diplomatic activity centers on U.S. President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging additional Abraham Accords signings, yet Saudi officials reiterated that normalization requires an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood. Broader regional tensions, including continued West Bank settlement activity and international sanctions on settler networks by countries like Britain, Canada, and France, have reinforced conditioning factors for potential recognizers. With only two weeks remaining, any resolution would require rapid official announcements or diplomatic breakthroughs in bilateral talks.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$437,297
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Lebanon" z 2%, za nim "Syria" z 2%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 2¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 2% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" wygenerował $437.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 20, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

To szeroko otwarty rynek. Obecnym liderem dla "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" jest "Lebanon" z zaledwie 2%, a za nim "Syria" z 2%. Brak wyniku z wyraźną większością — traderzy widzą to jako wysoce niepewne, co może stwarzać unikalne okazje handlowe. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, więc dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby obserwować ewolucję prawdopodobieństw.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.