Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
96% szansa
$383,682 Wol.
$383,682 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
96% szansa
$383,682 Wol.
$383,682 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$383,682Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$383,682Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s active preparations for a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, following its June 1 confidential S-1 filing and strong revenue momentum exceeding $11 billion quarterly run-rate, drive the 95.7% market-implied probability it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. Sam Altman’s mid-September statements that a 2026 debut would be “ill-advised” amid AI safety and alignment priorities have pushed OpenAI’s timeline to 2027 despite its own June S-1 filing, creating clear sequencing. Traders view Anthropic’s roadshow plans, credit facility, and $2 trillion valuation target as executable within the current window. Realistic risks include further regulatory scrutiny on large language model risks, market volatility, or last-minute prospectus delays that could shift Anthropic later, though OpenAI acceleration appears unlikely given leadership comments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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