Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6% in early August 2026 after rising from February lows near 6%, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid persistently elevated inflation readings above the 2% target. Ten-year Treasury yields near 4.65% continue to transmit policy restraint into the mortgage market, while recent CPI prints and geopolitical energy pressures have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term easing. With the FOMC signaling data dependence and markets pricing a possible September hike, consensus centers on rates trading in the mid-to-high 6% range through year-end absent decisive disinflation or labor-market softening. Upcoming August CPI, employment reports, and the Jackson Hole symposium represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on any threshold breach.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$50,494 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
40%
↑ 6.75%
82%
↓ 5.90%
57%
↓ 5.70%
27%
↓ 5.50%
20%
$50,494 Wol.
↑ 7.00%
$26 Wol.
40%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Wol.
82%
↓ 5.90%
$6,124 Wol.
57%
↓ 5.70%
$7,088 Wol.
27%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Wol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6% in early August 2026 after rising from February lows near 6%, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid persistently elevated inflation readings above the 2% target. Ten-year Treasury yields near 4.65% continue to transmit policy restraint into the mortgage market, while recent CPI prints and geopolitical energy pressures have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term easing. With the FOMC signaling data dependence and markets pricing a possible September hike, consensus centers on rates trading in the mid-to-high 6% range through year-end absent decisive disinflation or labor-market softening. Upcoming August CPI, employment reports, and the Jackson Hole symposium represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on any threshold breach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,494Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6% in early August 2026 after rising from February lows near 6%, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid persistently elevated inflation readings above the 2% target. Ten-year Treasury yields near 4.65% continue to transmit policy restraint into the mortgage market, while recent CPI prints and geopolitical energy pressures have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term easing. With the FOMC signaling data dependence and markets pricing a possible September hike, consensus centers on rates trading in the mid-to-high 6% range through year-end absent decisive disinflation or labor-market softening. Upcoming August CPI, employment reports, and the Jackson Hole symposium represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on any threshold breach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,494Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.6% in early August 2026 after rising from February lows near 6%, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid persistently elevated inflation readings above the 2% target. Ten-year Treasury yields near 4.65% continue to transmit policy restraint into the mortgage market, while recent CPI prints and geopolitical energy pressures have reinforced trader expectations of limited near-term easing. With the FOMC signaling data dependence and markets pricing a possible September hike, consensus centers on rates trading in the mid-to-high 6% range through year-end absent decisive disinflation or labor-market softening. Upcoming August CPI, employment reports, and the Jackson Hole symposium represent key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on any threshold breach.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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