Recent upward pressure on 30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.66–6.78% as of early August 2026, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns and higher Treasury yields that have prompted the Federal Reserve to maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. Geopolitical tensions, including renewed Middle East conflicts elevating oil prices, have reinforced expectations for fewer rate cuts this year, pushing benchmark 10-year yields higher and widening mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages near 6.2–6.4% by year-end, reflecting modest easing if labor market data and CPI releases moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and monthly economic releases that could shift trader-implied odds on whether rates breach specific thresholds before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$50,494 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
47%
↑ 6.75%
77%
↓ 5.90%
54%
↓ 5.70%
28%
↓ 5.50%
46%
$50,494 Wol.
↑ 7.00%
$26 Wol.
47%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Wol.
77%
↓ 5.90%
$6,124 Wol.
54%
↓ 5.70%
$7,088 Wol.
28%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent upward pressure on 30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.66–6.78% as of early August 2026, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns and higher Treasury yields that have prompted the Federal Reserve to maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. Geopolitical tensions, including renewed Middle East conflicts elevating oil prices, have reinforced expectations for fewer rate cuts this year, pushing benchmark 10-year yields higher and widening mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages near 6.2–6.4% by year-end, reflecting modest easing if labor market data and CPI releases moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and monthly economic releases that could shift trader-implied odds on whether rates breach specific thresholds before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,494Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Recent upward pressure on 30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.66–6.78% as of early August 2026, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns and higher Treasury yields that have prompted the Federal Reserve to maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. Geopolitical tensions, including renewed Middle East conflicts elevating oil prices, have reinforced expectations for fewer rate cuts this year, pushing benchmark 10-year yields higher and widening mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages near 6.2–6.4% by year-end, reflecting modest easing if labor market data and CPI releases moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and monthly economic releases that could shift trader-implied odds on whether rates breach specific thresholds before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,494Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent upward pressure on 30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.66–6.78% as of early August 2026, stems primarily from persistent inflation concerns and higher Treasury yields that have prompted the Federal Reserve to maintain a tighter monetary policy stance. Geopolitical tensions, including renewed Middle East conflicts elevating oil prices, have reinforced expectations for fewer rate cuts this year, pushing benchmark 10-year yields higher and widening mortgage spreads. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages near 6.2–6.4% by year-end, reflecting modest easing if labor market data and CPI releases moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and monthly economic releases that could shift trader-implied odds on whether rates breach specific thresholds before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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