Susan Lahey, the Ontario Progressive Conservative candidate and East Gwillimbury councillor, holds a commanding lead in the York—Simcoe provincial by-election market due to the riding's established PC support base following Caroline Mulroney's resignation. Premier Doug Ford's mid-June appointment of Lahey as the party nominee leveraged local name recognition and organizational strength ahead of the September 3 vote. Opposition candidates from the Liberals, NDP, Greens, and smaller parties face compressed timelines to build visibility in a historically conservative-leaning district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late campaign scandal, sharp provincial polling shift against the PCs, or unexpectedly strong coordinated turnout by multiple challengers could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSusan Lahey 95.1%
Naomi Davison 4.1%
Matt Pearce <1%
David Ghobrial <1%
Susan Lahey
95%
Naomi Davison
4%
Matt Pearce
1%
David Ghobrial
1%
Gerald Auger
1%
Bobby Nikmard
1%
Sean Conroy
1%
Susan Lahey 95.1%
Naomi Davison 4.1%
Matt Pearce <1%
David Ghobrial <1%
Susan Lahey
95%
Naomi Davison
4%
Matt Pearce
1%
David Ghobrial
1%
Gerald Auger
1%
Bobby Nikmard
1%
Sean Conroy
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 5:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Susan Lahey, the Ontario Progressive Conservative candidate and East Gwillimbury councillor, holds a commanding lead in the York—Simcoe provincial by-election market due to the riding's established PC support base following Caroline Mulroney's resignation. Premier Doug Ford's mid-June appointment of Lahey as the party nominee leveraged local name recognition and organizational strength ahead of the September 3 vote. Opposition candidates from the Liberals, NDP, Greens, and smaller parties face compressed timelines to build visibility in a historically conservative-leaning district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late campaign scandal, sharp provincial polling shift against the PCs, or unexpectedly strong coordinated turnout by multiple challengers could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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