Trump’s second-term approval ratings have declined steadily from around 47% early in the term to the low-to-mid 30s by August 2026 amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February, sharp rises in gas prices, and persistent voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, foreign policy, trade, and immigration handling. Recent polls show record or near-record lows for a second-term president at this stage, with Republican support softening on issues such as promise-keeping and issue management. Midterm elections in November 2026, additional executive actions on tariffs and domestic policy, and any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East remain key variables that could influence whether ratings rebound or remain suppressed through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
7%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
5%
↑ 47%
10%
↑ 48%
6%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
$7,207 Wol.
↑ 44%
7%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
5%
↑ 47%
10%
↑ 48%
6%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second-term approval ratings have declined steadily from around 47% early in the term to the low-to-mid 30s by August 2026 amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February, sharp rises in gas prices, and persistent voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, foreign policy, trade, and immigration handling. Recent polls show record or near-record lows for a second-term president at this stage, with Republican support softening on issues such as promise-keeping and issue management. Midterm elections in November 2026, additional executive actions on tariffs and domestic policy, and any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East remain key variables that could influence whether ratings rebound or remain suppressed through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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