The U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched in February 2026 and marked by repeated strikes, naval incidents, and efforts to control the Strait of Hormuz, has pressured President Trump's approval ratings amid voter concerns over casualties, costs exceeding $100 billion, and escalation risks. Recent June-July diplomatic overtures and temporary halts in strikes produced mixed results, with polls showing broad opposition to sustained involvement. Economic indicators, legislative priorities, and the approach of November 2026 midterms could provide countervailing momentum if tensions ease or domestic conditions improve. Trader assessments of the year's peak rating reflect these geopolitical and policy dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
6%
↑ 46%
11%
↑ 47%
18%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
$7,070 Wol.
↑ 44%
$3,042 Wol.
6%
↑ 45%
$279 Wol.
6%
↑ 46%
$910 Wol.
11%
↑ 47%
$468 Wol.
18%
↑ 48%
$709 Wol.
7%
↑ 49%
$596 Wol.
4%
↑ 50%
$1,067 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.The U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched in February 2026 and marked by repeated strikes, naval incidents, and efforts to control the Strait of Hormuz, has pressured President Trump's approval ratings amid voter concerns over casualties, costs exceeding $100 billion, and escalation risks. Recent June-July diplomatic overtures and temporary halts in strikes produced mixed results, with polls showing broad opposition to sustained involvement. Economic indicators, legislative priorities, and the approach of November 2026 midterms could provide countervailing momentum if tensions ease or domestic conditions improve. Trader assessments of the year's peak rating reflect these geopolitical and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,070Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.The U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched in February 2026 and marked by repeated strikes, naval incidents, and efforts to control the Strait of Hormuz, has pressured President Trump's approval ratings amid voter concerns over casualties, costs exceeding $100 billion, and escalation risks. Recent June-July diplomatic overtures and temporary halts in strikes produced mixed results, with polls showing broad opposition to sustained involvement. Economic indicators, legislative priorities, and the approach of November 2026 midterms could provide countervailing momentum if tensions ease or domestic conditions improve. Trader assessments of the year's peak rating reflect these geopolitical and policy dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Wolumen
$7,070Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S.-Israel military campaign against Iran, launched in February 2026 and marked by repeated strikes, naval incidents, and efforts to control the Strait of Hormuz, has pressured President Trump's approval ratings amid voter concerns over casualties, costs exceeding $100 billion, and escalation risks. Recent June-July diplomatic overtures and temporary halts in strikes produced mixed results, with polls showing broad opposition to sustained involvement. Economic indicators, legislative priorities, and the approach of November 2026 midterms could provide countervailing momentum if tensions ease or domestic conditions improve. Trader assessments of the year's peak rating reflect these geopolitical and policy dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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