AI Releases predictions & odds

Tech·AI

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

$526K Vol.

$91.4K today

$107K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

99%

October 31

$526K Vol.

$91.4K today

$107K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

$74.4K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

49%

October 31

$74.4K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

$81.9K Vol.

$57.7K today

$87.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

100%

September 30

$81.9K Vol.

$57.7K today

$87.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?

$22.3K Vol.

$89.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

78%

September 2

$22.3K Vol.

$89.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Culture·Celebrities

Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

$125K Vol.

$99 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

53%

NewJeans

$125K Vol.

$99 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

GPT-6 released by…?

$2M Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

78%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI's Astra released on...?

$23.8K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

27%

On or prior to September 2

$23.8K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·AI

New MAI thinking model released by...?

$489 Vol.

$547 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

34%

December 31

$489 Vol.

$547 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

$367K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

92%

November 30

$367K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

$66.2K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

December 31

$66.2K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

$949 Vol.

$214 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

47%

November 30

$949 Vol.

$214 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

$47.9K Vol.

$56.2K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

76%

No release by September 30

$47.9K Vol.

$56.2K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

$28.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

96%

1470+

$28.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Culture·Music

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

$221K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

71%

Lana Del Rey

$221K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

$1M Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

69%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

$4.0K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

60%

August 31–September 6

$4.0K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Tech·AI

Grok 5 released by...?

$9.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

December 31

$9.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$14.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

40%+

$14.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

$16.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

83%

1480+

$16.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

$4.0K Vol.

$509 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

76%

November 30

$4.0K Vol.

$509 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like AI Releases.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for AI Releases that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI’s Astra released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “GPT-6 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “GPT-6 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on AI Releases predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for AI Releases shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “GPT-6 released by…?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the AI Releases prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “OpenAI’s Astra released by…?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the AI Releases prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

AI Releases predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of AI Releases prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do AI Releases markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top AI Releases prediction?

Why use Polymarket for AI Releases predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s AI Releases odds?

Can I track AI Releases predictions without trading?

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How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of AI Releases prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do AI Releases markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top AI Releases prediction?

Why use Polymarket for AI Releases predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s AI Releases odds?

Can I track AI Releases predictions without trading?

How do I get started with AI Releases markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

AI Releases predictions & odds