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icon for SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

icon for SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

NEW

$20,800 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$20,800 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$10,085 Vol.

17%

September 30

$6,475 Vol.

30%

October 31

$4,240 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), the alignment-focused lab founded by Ilya Sutskever in 2024, has maintained strict stealth with zero public models, papers, or demos released in its first 25 months. The primary near-term driver of trader sentiment is investor Gavin Baker’s early-August 2026 podcast claim that the company plans an initial model release this month, amplified by SSI’s July 27 NVIDIA partnership that dramatically scales compute on the Vera Rubin platform after Sutskever stated its research was “worthy of scaling.” This stands in contrast to SSI’s stated “straight-shot” mandate of building only safe superintelligence without interim products. Any August announcement would represent a sharp departure from its prior silence and could resolve markets quickly, while continued quiet would reinforce expectations of a longer timeline before a public large language model or aligned system appears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,800
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), the alignment-focused lab founded by Ilya Sutskever in 2024, has maintained strict stealth with zero public models, papers, or demos released in its first 25 months. The primary near-term driver of trader sentiment is investor Gavin Baker’s early-August 2026 podcast claim that the company plans an initial model release this month, amplified by SSI’s July 27 NVIDIA partnership that dramatically scales compute on the Vera Rubin platform after Sutskever stated its research was “worthy of scaling.” This stands in contrast to SSI’s stated “straight-shot” mandate of building only safe superintelligence without interim products. Any August announcement would represent a sharp departure from its prior silence and could resolve markets quickly, while continued quiet would reinforce expectations of a longer timeline before a public large language model or aligned system appears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,800
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SSI public model released by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 45%, followed by "September 30" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SSI public model released by…?" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SSI public model released by…?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SSI public model released by…?" is "October 31" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SSI public model released by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.