Kris Mayes holds a 64% implied probability as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026, Arizona attorney general election, reflecting her established position and recent polling leads of around eight points over Republican challenger Warren Petersen. Petersen, who secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with 56% against Rodney Glassman, trails at 34% amid trader assessments of the general election matchup. Primary outcomes and early September surveys showing Democratic advantages in down-ballot races have reinforced Mayes's edge, while the two-candidate general election field limits other outcomes. The November vote and any late shifts in voter sentiment on issues such as immigration enforcement and state-federal legal disputes remain key variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Kris Mayes (D)
64%
Warren Petersen (R)
34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Kris Mayes (D)
$0 Vol.
64%
Warren Petersen (R)
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes holds a 64% implied probability as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026, Arizona attorney general election, reflecting her established position and recent polling leads of around eight points over Republican challenger Warren Petersen. Petersen, who secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with 56% against Rodney Glassman, trails at 34% amid trader assessments of the general election matchup. Primary outcomes and early September surveys showing Democratic advantages in down-ballot races have reinforced Mayes's edge, while the two-candidate general election field limits other outcomes. The November vote and any late shifts in voter sentiment on issues such as immigration enforcement and state-federal legal disputes remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes holds a 64% implied probability as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026, Arizona attorney general election, reflecting her established position and recent polling leads of around eight points over Republican challenger Warren Petersen. Petersen, who secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with 56% against Rodney Glassman, trails at 34% amid trader assessments of the general election matchup. Primary outcomes and early September surveys showing Democratic advantages in down-ballot races have reinforced Mayes's edge, while the two-candidate general election field limits other outcomes. The November vote and any late shifts in voter sentiment on issues such as immigration enforcement and state-federal legal disputes remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kris Mayes holds a 64% implied probability as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026, Arizona attorney general election, reflecting her established position and recent polling leads of around eight points over Republican challenger Warren Petersen. Petersen, who secured the GOP nomination in the July 2026 primary with 56% against Rodney Glassman, trails at 34% amid trader assessments of the general election matchup. Primary outcomes and early September surveys showing Democratic advantages in down-ballot races have reinforced Mayes's edge, while the two-candidate general election field limits other outcomes. The November vote and any late shifts in voter sentiment on issues such as immigration enforcement and state-federal legal disputes remain key variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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