Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–15°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging near 15°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service updates showing overcast skies and afternoon showers suppressing peak heating. A passing upper-level trough ushers cooler continental air masses, with cloud cover—projected at 80–100% during midday—limiting solar insolation and capping highs below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Ensemble spreads (13–16°C) capture uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clearings, potentially tipping outcomes; persistent overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial breaks could push to 16°C. Airport observations at Esenboğa resolve the market by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
14°C 28%
15°C 23%
13°C 17%
16°C 13%
NOVO
$12,224 Vol.
NOVO
$12,224 Vol.
18 abr 2026
12°C or below
10%
13°C
17%
14°C
28%
15°C
23%
16°C
13%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 28%
15°C 23%
13°C 17%
16°C 13%
NOVO
$12,224 Vol.
NOVO
$12,224 Vol.
18 abr 2026
12°C or below
$1,734 Vol.
10%
13°C
$1,565 Vol.
17%
14°C
$905 Vol.
28%
15°C
$540 Vol.
23%
16°C
$1,590 Vol.
13%
17°C
$1,350 Vol.
6%
18°C
$1,510 Vol.
2%
19°C
$866 Vol.
1%
20°C
$521 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–15°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging near 15°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service updates showing overcast skies and afternoon showers suppressing peak heating. A passing upper-level trough ushers cooler continental air masses, with cloud cover—projected at 80–100% during midday—limiting solar insolation and capping highs below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Ensemble spreads (13–16°C) capture uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clearings, potentially tipping outcomes; persistent overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial breaks could push to 16°C. Airport observations at Esenboğa resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,224Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–15°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging near 15°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service updates showing overcast skies and afternoon showers suppressing peak heating. A passing upper-level trough ushers cooler continental air masses, with cloud cover—projected at 80–100% during midday—limiting solar insolation and capping highs below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Ensemble spreads (13–16°C) capture uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clearings, potentially tipping outcomes; persistent overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial breaks could push to 16°C. Airport observations at Esenboğa resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,224Data de Término
18 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 14–15°C for Ankara's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging near 15°C, corroborated by Turkish State Meteorological Service updates showing overcast skies and afternoon showers suppressing peak heating. A passing upper-level trough ushers cooler continental air masses, with cloud cover—projected at 80–100% during midday—limiting solar insolation and capping highs below seasonal norms of 16–17°C. Ensemble spreads (13–16°C) capture uncertainty in precipitation timing and any brief clearings, potentially tipping outcomes; persistent overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial breaks could push to 16°C. Airport observations at Esenboğa resolve the market by midnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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