Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?
92-93°F 100%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$35,065 Vol.
$35,065 Vol.
21 jun 2026
83°F ou menos
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-32,8°C
Não
92-93°F
Sim
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$35,065 Vol.
$35,065 Vol.
21 jun 2026
83°F ou menos
$1,436 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$1,116 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$1,952 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$6,516 Vol.
Não
32-32,8°C
$4,946 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$5,284 Vol.
Sim
94-95°F
$6,013 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$3,492 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$2,374 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,094 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$841 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$35,065Data de Término
21 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,065Data de Término
21 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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